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noting that prisons were a priority before skilled-nursing and
                              assisted-living facilities in some states. “Throughout the U.S.
                              we have not been a priority for testing from the outset of this,”
                              he said. “Crisis testing was for hospitals and hospital work-
                              ers. We are just now being listed as a priority when we are the
                              front lines of this crisis. And we still can’t get tests.”
                                                                                                                    at Riverdale
                                                                                                                    reconfigured
                              Testing costs are steep
                                                                                                                    one of its buildings
                                                                                                                    to be a dedicated
                                New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo mandated the state’s nurs-
                                                                                                                    COVID-19 recovery
                              ing homes to test employees twice a week. That level of test-
                                                                                                                    building; it’s
                              ing, PPE and other related expenses will cost Hebrew Home,
                                                                                                                    equipped with
                                                                                                                    adequate PPE and
                              which has 1,200 employees, around $200,000 a week, Rein-
                                                                                                                    specially trained
                              gold said. All the testing kits are provided by the state Health
                                                                                                                    staff.
                              Department, but facilities must pay processing costs. “That is
                                                                                                 HEBREW HOME AT RIVERDALE  Hebrew Home
                              an enormous financial and logistical hurdle,” he said.
                                Just testing staff and residents once in all 1,700 SNFs in the
                              U.S. would cost nearly $440 million, the AHCA estimates. It   a nursing home’s bed days, and they were virtually wiped
                              would cost New York’s 619 SNFs nearly $34 million. When   out through the first two months of the pandemic. The rest
                              factoring in assisted-living communities, the projected cost   are long-term residents, largely financed by Medicaid, who
                              jumps to more than $672 million nationwide. One nursing   often have higher rates of cognitive impairment.
                              home had spent $700,000 more than usual for cleaning, ad-  Nursing homes are left with residents they largely lose
                              ditional staff, testing and new equipment through mid-May,   money on, which has pushed them to the brink as staff-
                              Fulmer said. “Nursing homes will close unless the federal   ing and supply costs surge, Grabowski said. “We need to
                              government comes in. They just can’t survive.”       realign those two payers more closely with the true cost of
                                ProMedica, which has around 44,000 employees who   providing care—it makes no sense to have a system where
                              care for about 30,000 patients, is paying 200 to 300 times   nursing homes are forced to cross-subsidize one govern-
                              what it was paying for PPE prior to the pandemic, executives   ment payer with another,” he said.
                              said. The cost of a mask has increased from around 5 cents
                              to more than a dollar, said Brian Jurutka, president of the   Misaligned models
                              National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care.   There has always been misalignment between the busi-
                                While the new testing requirements are reimbursed in   ness model and care model of the post-acute sector, said Dr.
                              the SNF Medicare Part A bundle, the costs are consider-  Jay LaBine, chief medical officer at naviHealth.
                              able. Depending on local market factors and state require-  Nursing homes should be better segmented into long-
                              ments, the tests may cost up to $500 each and may need to   term care providers or shorter-term post-acute recovery
                              be repeated during a stay, according to the AHCA.    facilities, experts said. “The goals, criteria and surveillance
                                “Such testing costs quickly would erode Medicare Part A   of those two environments are very different,” said Carney,
                              payment coverage of a stay,” the association said.   adding that long-term facilities should have less of a medi-
                                There isn’t much slack to accommodate reduced revenue   cal focus and be more sub-acute. “But we are conflicted in
                              and higher expenses. Margins at SNFs fell to 0.5% in 2017,   what they are as a society.”
                              down from 0.7% in 2016, according to the Medicare Pay-  Meanwhile, fewer Medicare beneficiaries are getting
                              ment Advisory Commission.                            treated by SNFs across the country. Utilization in the
                                While margins on the Medicare share of their business   Northeast fell the most, moving from 1,675 SNF days per
                              have remained in the double digits for two decades, ac-  1,000 beneficiaries in 2007 to 1,177 in 2017, according to
                              cording to MedPAC, the average non-Medicare margin,   HMP Metrics.
                              which includes Medicaid and private insurers, was -2.4% in   Nursing homes that are predominantly dependent on
                              both 2016 and 2017.                                  Medicaid reimbursement are more likely to close. They
                                “Frankly, a lot of nursing homes aren’t going to make it   typically have lower staffing levels, are located in poorer
                              through this,” Reingold said. “The financial impact on us   neighborhoods and change ownership more often,
                              and our colleagues is very significant. It will be a while be-  Grabowski said.
                              fore post-acute care rebounds—a lot of people are not going   Since June 2015, 555 U.S. nursing homes have closed,
                              to want to go to a nursing home.”                    which represents about 4% of all nursing homes, according
                                The nursing home industry rests on a tenuous business   to a February report from LeadingAge. “They are systemat-
                              model, said David Grabowski, a professor at Harvard Med-  ically underfunded,” he said.
                              ical School and healthcare policy researcher.         Only about 2.6% of the $3.65 trillion that was spent on
                                Some are short-stay patients coming from the hospi-  healthcare in 2018 was directed to government public
                              tal—largely Medicare beneficiaries recovering from pro-  health activities, leaving communal senior-care settings
                              cedures like knee and hip replacements. While they are   particularly vulnerable.
                              more lucrative, they typically only account for about 20% of   Dollars have to shift, said Dr. Robyn Stone, senior vice
                             14  Modern Healthcare | June 8, 2020
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